Boeing’s 777X is slated to fly commercially for the first time in early 2027 instead of next year, people familiar with the matter said, a fresh setback to the U.S. plane-maker that sets the stage for potentially billions of dollars in accounting charges.
Deutsche Lufthansa, the launch customer for the widebody aircraft, is already laying the groundwork for a fresh setback. The German airline isn’t including the 777X in its fleet plans until 2027, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the matter is confidential. Officials at Emirates, the 777X’s biggest customer, have also grown more cautious as it looks at entry into service possibly not before 2027.
Analysts estimate the noncash accounting charge could run from $2.5 billion to as much as $4 billion, though Boeing has not detailed the extent of the cost. But executives have held meetings with major investors in recent weeks and are charting out damage-control messaging that the financial impact will be spread across the overall jet program, according to one of the people.
The jet, already six years late, is of major strategic and financial importance to Boeing in its duel with Airbus for a bigger slice of the lucrative long-haul market. Boeing executives are set to discuss the extent and cost of the latest schedule slip for the hulking jet when Boeing reports earnings on Oct. 29.
A Boeing spokesperson declined to comment, citing a quiet period ahead of earnings. A spokesperson for Lufthansa deferred questions on the delivery schedule to the manufacturer.
Last month, Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg revealed to a Morgan Stanley conference that 777X certification was falling behind schedule, though he didn’t provide a new timeline. He attributed the latest setback to a “mountain of work” rather than any new technical issue with the plane or its engines.
“As you know, even a minor schedule delay on the 777 program has a pretty big financial impact because we’re in a reach-forward loss situation,” Ortberg said. “So we’re looking at that real hard.”
For analysts, Ortberg’s comments fit a familiar pattern. The plane-maker has often used investor conferences to signal negative news and set expectations for its quarterly earnings. The CEO’s reference to program losses under Boeing’s arcane accounting methodology indicated the noncash accounting charge would be substantial.
Another delay to the start of deliveries for Boeing’s upgraded 777, which was originally due to fly commercially in 2020, would also crimp cash needed to help the company leave behind years of crises and financial bloodletting.
Boeing expects to start generating cash this year, fueling optimism that the U.S. manufacturer has regained a grip on production under Ortberg, who joined in August 2024.
Boeing has already racked up more than $11 billion in cost overruns for the 777X, which has encountered a string of setbacks and faced tough Federal Aviation Administration scrutiny in the aftermath of two fatal 737 MAX crashes last decade.
The program is in a reach forward-loss position, meaning Boeing won’t recover its development costs across the first 500 airplanes it builds and sells. The company must immediately book any additional abnormal costs and overruns as a charge to earnings.
Sheila Kahyaoglu, an analyst with Jefferies, predicts Boeing could report a charge as large as $4 billion from the delays. That covers cash payments the manufacturer would have received next year from delivering 18 of the planes, as she’d expected, as well as customer concessions and other costs.
Bloomberg’s Leen Al-Rashdan and Sonja Wind contributed.